{"id":5876,"date":"2025-03-04T12:33:50","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T11:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/odabrano.com\/?p=5876"},"modified":"2025-03-05T13:51:31","modified_gmt":"2025-03-05T12:51:31","slug":"procjene-hrvatskog-bdp-a-u-nabavi-novog-oruzja","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/odabrano.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/04\/procjene-hrvatskog-bdp-a-u-nabavi-novog-oruzja\/","title":{"rendered":"Procjene hrvatskog BDP-a u nabavi novog oru\u017eja"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Trenutno stanje (2024\/2025)<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Hrvatska obrambena potro\u0161nja – okvirni podaci:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Prora\u010dun MORH-a za 2024.:<\/strong> oko 1,16 milijardi eura<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • BDP Hrvatske za 2024.:<\/strong> oko 66 milijardi eura<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • To je oko 1,75% BDP-a<\/strong> za obranu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Cilj NATO-a:<\/strong> 2% BDP-a (Hrvatska je na rubu ostvarenja tog cilja).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n

    Rafale – tro\u0161ak i utjecaj<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Ukupna vrijednost ugovora za 12 Rafala<\/strong> = oko 1,14 milijardi eura<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Ve\u0107ina tog tro\u0161ka je ispla\u0107ena 2022.-2024.<\/strong>, tako da Rafale ne di\u017eu bitno postotak u 2026.-2027.<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Operativni tro\u0161kovi odr\u017eavanja Rafala = oko 50-70 milijuna eura godi\u0161nje<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n

      HIMARS – planirana nabava i tro\u0161ak<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • HIMARS paket<\/strong> za Hrvatsku (8 lansera + streljivo) = oko 180 milijuna dolara<\/strong> (oko 165 milijuna eura).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Pla\u0107anje je raspore\u0111eno na vi\u0161e godina.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Najve\u0107i tro\u0161ak pada 2026.-2027.<\/strong>, kad dolazi oprema i kad kre\u0107e obuka i integracija.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Godi\u0161nji operativni tro\u0161ak HIMARS-a nije velik (ispod 10 milijuna eura).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n\n\n\n

        NASAMS – okvirna procjena<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • Cijena za zemlju veli\u010dine Hrvatske:<\/strong> oko 250-300 milijuna eura<\/strong> za jedan puni sustav sa 3-4 lansera + radari + zapovjedni sustav.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • S obzirom da je Hrvatska pri vrhu liste NATO-a za modernizaciju PZO, NASAMS je realan do 2027.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • Pla\u0107anje \u0107e tako\u0111er biti faza po faza<\/strong> (po\u010detak narud\u017ebe 2025., isporuka 2027.-2028.).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n\n\n\n

          Kombinirani tro\u0161kovi 2025.-2027.<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n
          Sustav<\/th>Ukupni tro\u0161ak<\/th>Godi\u0161nji tro\u0161ak (2026.\/2027.)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
          Rafale (odr\u017eavanje)<\/strong><\/td>cca 70 mil. EUR<\/td>70 mil. EUR<\/td><\/tr>
          HIMARS (nabava + obuka)<\/strong><\/td>cca 165 mil. EUR<\/td>cca 55 mil. EUR<\/td><\/tr>
          NASAMS (prva faza)<\/strong><\/td>cca 300 mil. EUR<\/td>cca 100 mil. EUR<\/td><\/tr>
          Ostalo (pla\u0107e, logistika, modernizacija)<\/strong><\/td>cca 900 mil. EUR<\/td>900 mil. EUR<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
            \n
          • Ukupno godi\u0161nje (2026.\/2027.):<\/strong> oko 1,1 – 1,2 milijarde eura<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • BDP Hrvatske 2027. (procjena):<\/strong> oko 70 milijardi eura<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            \n\n\n\n

            Koliki postotak BDP-a?<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n

            1,2 milijarde EUR (obrana) \u00f7 70 milijardi EUR (BDP) = oko 1,7%<\/strong> BDP-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n\n\n\n

            Zaklju\u010dak \u2013 prelazi li Hrvatska 3%?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

            \ud83d\udd34 Ne, \u010dak ni s Rafalima, HIMARS-ima i NASAMS-om Hrvatska ne\u0107e prije\u0107i 3% BDP-a za obranu.<\/strong>
            \u2705 Realno se zadr\u017eava u rasponu 1,8% – 2% BDP-a<\/strong>.
            \u2705 Da bi do\u0161la do 3%, trebala bi ulo\u017eiti jo\u0161 oko 1,1 do 1,3 milijarde eura godi\u0161nje \u2014 \u0161to je dvostruko vi\u0161e od sada\u0161njeg obrambenog prora\u010duna!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n\n\n\n

            \u0160to bi moglo pogurati potro\u0161nju preko 3%?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
              \n
            • Masovna kupnja dodatnih Rafala (druga eskadrila).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • Nabava te\u0161kog PZO-a dugog dometa<\/strong> (npr. Patriot).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • Sustavna modernizacija kopnene vojske (tenkovi, oklopnjaci, topni\u0161tvo).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • Znatno pove\u0107anje vojnog kadra i pla\u0107a.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • Ulazak u nove velike NATO projekte (npr. zajedni\u010dki sustavi satelitskog nadzora ili dalekometnih raketa).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              \n\n\n\n

              Sumirano:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
              Godina<\/th>O\u010dekivani % BDP-a za obranu<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
              2024.<\/td>1,75%<\/td><\/tr>
              2025.<\/td>oko 1,8%<\/td><\/tr>
              2026.<\/td>oko 1,9% (HIMARS i NASAMS po\u010dinju ulaziti)<\/td><\/tr>
              2027.<\/td>oko 2% (sve isporu\u010deno i u uporabi)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              Trenutno stanje (2024\/2025) Hrvatska obrambena potro\u0161nja – okvirni podaci: Prora\u010dun MORH-a za 2024.: oko 1,16 milijardi eura. BDP Hrvatske za 2024.: oko 66 milijardi eura. To je oko 1,75% BDP-a za obranu. Cilj NATO-a: 2% BDP-a (Hrvatska je na rubu ostvarenja tog cilja). Rafale – tro\u0161ak i utjecaj Ukupna vrijednost ugovora za 12 Rafala = …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5877,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[1212,821,376,1213],"class_list":["post-5876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-hrvatska","tag-bdp","tag-himars","tag-hrvatska","tag-nasams"],"yoast_head":"\nProcjene hrvatskog BDP-a u nabavi novog oru\u017eja - odabrano<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nabava opreme i oru\u017eja za HV prema hrvatskom BDP-u.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/odabrano.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/04\/procjene-hrvatskog-bdp-a-u-nabavi-novog-oruzja\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Procjene hrvatskog BDP-a u nabavi novog oru\u017eja - 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